Will Trump cut military spending?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.8pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.