The market moved
+25.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?
Politics · resolves Apr 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to footage of the event — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to footage of the event — https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.