The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report — https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.