The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report — https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.