The market moved
+1.8ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes received by each donald trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all vot — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes received by each Donald Trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all vot.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.