The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now

Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes received by each donald trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all vot — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes received by each Donald Trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all vot.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.