The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump do better with men than in 2020 election?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the cnn release of the national election pool exit poll for the 2020 us presidential election, donald trump received 53% — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 53% — https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.