The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?

Politics · resolves May 9 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114452117143235155).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.