The market moved
+8.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump impose tariffs on China before March?
Geopolitics · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of commerce — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Commerce.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.