Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.4pp shift. Resolution depends on whitehouse.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: whitehouse.gov — https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.