The market moved

+73.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?

Politics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 73.5pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.