The market moved

+0.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?

Politics · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on major news outlets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: major news outlets — https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2025/04/02/regulating-imports-with-a-reciprocal-tariff-to-rectify-trade-practices-that-contribute-to-large-and-persistent-annual-united-states-goods-trade-deficits/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.