Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.