The market moved

+8.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?

Politics · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.3pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.