The market moved

-0.6ppin 24h · now

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?

Politics · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.