The market moved

+28.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump post "Border" 3 or more times on final night of DNC?

Politics · resolves Aug 22 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113006326768388905).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.