The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 22¢
Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?
Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $1.05
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.