The market moved

+19.4ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will Trump post "Communist" on Truth Social this week?

Politics · resolves Aug 2 · vol $1.0K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 19.4pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.