The market moved

+20.5ppin 24h · now 92¢

Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Politics · resolves Aug 30 · vol $104.10

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.