The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
Crypto · resolves Jun 15 · vol $1.08
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 10.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.