The market moved

+12.0ppin 24h · now 56¢

Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?

Geopolitics · resolves May 24 · vol $235.81

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+12.0pp · Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? | Orrery