The market moved
+9.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 15 · vol $48.92
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 10.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.