The market moved
-22.5ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $46.35
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.