The market moved
-16.5ppin 24h · now 59¢
Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?
Geopolitics · resolves Aug 30 · vol $181.50
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 59¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.