The market moved

+35.5ppin 24h · now 62¢

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $25.83

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 35.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+35.5pp · Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | Orrery