The market moved

-41.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?

Politics · resolves Jun 28 · vol $26.36

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 41.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.