The market moved

+8.0ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $6.19

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.