The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 41¢
Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by July 31?
Sports · resolves Jul 31 · vol $115.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from donald trump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Donald Trump.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.