The market moved

+30.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 30.4pp shift. Resolution depends on major news outlets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: major news outlets.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.