The market moved
-1.6ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?
Geopolitics · resolves Nov 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.axios.com/2025/11/19/ukraine-peace-plan-trump-russia-witkoff.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.