The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?

Politics · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on whitehouse.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: whitehouse.gov — https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.