The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 82¢
Will Trump say "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Politics · resolves Aug 21 · vol $516.50
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 82¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on kutv.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: kutv.com — https://kutv.com/news/nation-world/trump-rally-in-myrtle-beach-prompts-postponement-of-south-carolina-gop-senate-event-darline-graham-ralph-norman-scgop).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 33.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.