The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 29¢
Will Trump say "Alaska" during Pennsylvania events?
Politics · resolves Jun 23 · vol $5.52
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 29¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/RepMeuser/status/2067728952404115773).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.