The market moved

-24.5ppin 24h · now 44¢

Will Trump say "Arch" or "Ballroom" during June 24 Rally?

Politics · resolves Jun 24 · vol $44.35

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 44¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/JustTrumpTruth/status/2062652114430575065?s=20).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.