The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Politics · resolves Nov 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/hungarys-orban-visit-trump-discuss-path-us-russia-meeting-2025-10-30/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.