The market moved
-27.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
Politics · resolves Sep 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.0pp shift. Resolution depends on independent.co.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: independent.co.uk — https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/donald-trump-melania-trump-president-keir-starmer-buckingham-palace-b2824153.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.