The market moved

-35.9ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Cheat" during Carney visit on May 6?

Politics · resolves May 6 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 35.9pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-02/canada-s-carney-set-to-meet-trump-at-white-house-early-next-week.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.