The market moved

+39.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during May 16 Baier interview?

Politics · resolves May 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.0pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-channel-air-special-editions-special-report-hannity-live-from-middle-east.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.