The market moved
+9.5ppin 24h · now 90¢
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?
Politics · resolves Jul 27 · vol $7.1K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 90¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on detroitnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: detroitnews.com — https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/07/23/trump-michigan-economic-speech-gordie-howe-bridge-opening/91023769007/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.