The market moved
-20.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Coal" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
Politics · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.0pp shift. Resolution depends on tuscaloosathread.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tuscaloosathread.com — https://tuscaloosathread.com/university-of-alabama-confirms-trumps-commencement-speech-for-all-spring-seniors/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.