The market moved
-57.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Condom" at CPAC conference on Saturday?
Sports · resolves Feb 22 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 57.0pp shift. Resolution depends on thehill.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: thehill.com — https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.