Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 43¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 32.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.