The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 91¢
Will Trump say "Death Tax" during Wisconsin events?
Politics · resolves Jun 6 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 91¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on weau.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weau.com — https://www.weau.com/2026/06/01/president-trump-coming-chippewa-county-friday-source-says/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 7.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.