The market moved
+40.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?
Politics · resolves May 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 40.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-02/canada-s-carney-set-to-meet-trump-at-white-house-early-next-week.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.