The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Trump say "Democrat" during Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
Politics · resolves Jul 23 · vol $2.4K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2080101580226040157?s=20A).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.