The market moved
+30.0ppin 24h · now 63¢
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Politics · resolves Jul 24 · vol $295.82
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 63¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 30.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 15.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.