The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Democrat" during remarks at Mount Rushmore?

Politics · resolves Jul 4 · vol $253.98

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on freedom250.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: freedom250.org — https://freedom250.org/media-center/press-release/freedom-250-president-trump-mount-rushmore-celebration).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 9.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.