The market moved
+29.1ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eight Peace Deals" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
Geopolitics · resolves Jan 22 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 29.1pp shift. Resolution depends on rollcall.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: rollcall.com — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.