Will Trump say "Elon" during his NATO speech?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: NATO — https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/21/trump-nato-defense-spending-00416118).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.