The market moved

+6.0ppin 24h · now 89¢

Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

Politics · resolves Jul 24 · vol $2.7K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 89¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.